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Aging in European Countries

If “revolution” is a rapid resettlement of the social structure, and if the age composition of the society counts as a very important aspect of that social structure, then there has been a social revolution in European and particularly Western European society within the lifetime of everyone over 50.   

如果“革命”是对社会结构的迅速重建,如果社会的年龄构成被看作是社会结构的一个非常重要的方面,那么在欧洲尤其是在西欧社会里,每个超过50岁的人一生中就已经历过一次社会革命了。

Taken together, these things have implications which are only beginning to be acknowledged. These facts and circumstances were well to the fore earlier this year at a world gathering about aging as a challenge to science and to policy, held at Vichy in France.   

综合起来,这些事情牵连出的结果刚开始被人们认识。这些事实和情况今年早些时候在法国维希举行的一个世界大会上被视为对科学和政策的挑战而置于显著地位。

There is often resistance to the idea that it is because the birthrate fell earlier in Western and Northwestern Europe than elsewhere, rather than because of any change in the death rate, that we have grown so old. But this is what elementary demography makes clear. Long life is altering our society, of course, but in experiential terms.   

这种观点常遇到反对意见,即正因为西欧和西北欧出生率比别的地区下降得早,而不是因为死亡率方面的任何变化,所以我们的社会才变得如此老龄但初级人口统计学已经把这个问题解释清楚了。当然长寿正改变我们的社会,但这是根据经验而来的说法。

We have among us a very much greater experience of continued living than any society that has ever preceded us anywhere, and this will continue. But too much of that lengthened experience, even in the wealthy West, will be experience of poverty and neglect, unless we do something about it.   

我们比以前任何一个社会更经历着长寿,这种情况还将继续下去。但过度的长寿,即便是在富裕的西方,也会遭受贫穷和忽视,除非我们采取一些办法。

If you are now in your thirties, you ought to be aware that you can expect to live nearly one third of the rest of your life after the age of 60. The older you are now , of course, the greater this proportion will be, and greater still if you are a woman. Expectation of life is a slippery figure, very easy to get wrong at the highest ages.   

如果你现在30多岁,你应当知道你可以期望活到60岁后再活上剩余生命的三分之一。当然,你现在年龄越大,这种比例就越高,如果你是女人,这比例还应该更高。人生的估计寿命是一个飘忽不定的数字,年龄越大越容易有误差。

At Vichy the demographers were telling each other that their estimates of how many old there would be and how long they will live in countries like England and Wales are due for revision upwards.

在维希,人口学家们互相转告,他们对一些地方人口情况的估计,如英格兰和威尔上将有多少老年人,这些老人的寿命如何,注定要进行修改,因为这些数字一直呈上升趋势。

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